Is Ed Witten really the world's greatest living theoretical physicist?

I think the greatest living theoretical physicist is Stanley Mandelstam. His thinking and insights (usually with Chew) are the only reason there is such a thing as string theory. But this is just a stupid opinion, like "what's your favorite pizza topping".

Physics is not a sport, like chess, where you can be the best by winning. It is not a competition, or rather, the competition is against nature, and each discovery is a win where nobody loses. You discover stuff, and you tell people, and then you go discover something else. At the end of your life, if you're lucky, like Ed Witten, or any of the other folks, you have at best a handful of discoveries compared to the size of the field. Then to ask who is greater, it's a question of whether discovery X plus discovery Z is more important than discovery Y, which is completely inane.

Witten is a great physicist, and never speak ill of a great physicist. However, his number one position has been granted by a corrupt and wrong political process, similar to the h-index, and this is not an acceptable way to go about doing science. It turns a discovery art into a contact sport where the main activity is citation sowing and reaping. The people who win at contact sports are the ones that trample over the field and hurt others.

The physics h-index works like any other star-making procedure, you select a small basket of people to be famous, using early career competence as a test. Then you apply political selection on the famous folks after the fact to get the "best of the famous". This process is bankrupt, because the best most original ideas come from absolutely nowhere, from the bottom of the barrel, from complete nobodies, just by the laws of statistics, because there are more nobodies than famous people. Nobody listens to these nobodies. In the old days, you needed people on top to endorse them, otherwise, they were just thrown out, like Everett, or the string theorists.

If you have famous people around, in the world before the internet, especially when hardly anybody could actually read the whole literature, like physics or mathematics in 1983, the famous people could sometimes get more famous by taking the work of a complete nobody, and republishing it as their own. In the early 1980s, nobody could read the whole literature, and you could get away with it, because nobody would know except for the author, and the author wouldn't find a job, because people would assume that the nobody was plagiarizing the somebody, rather than the other way around. Of course this doesn't work today. This type of corruption became worse during the reign of Ed Witten's. Einstein, Feynman, Schwinger, 'tHooft, Susskind always did stuff that was unmistakably completely 100% original, they never ever stepped on anyone else's toes.

Since the process of making Ed Witten leader was political, one should describe how it works for future generations, so they will see how fragile pre-internet science was: the way you got more famous is by making famous research buddies who you cite, and pull up, and they pull you back, in a corrosive feedback process that requires a feedback amplificaiton mechanism to select a few people for the top, this is the h-index. This process of feedback citation marginalizes all really good people, because a person with a new idea is not going to get cited, they are going to be laughed at, no citations , then the idea suddenly becomes obvious, no citations again (Einstein's Nobel prize winning photon paper has, like, 4 citations). This is not some weird exception, it is all the best work.

Ed Witten was transformational, because Ed Witten, through intelligence, foresight, and political shrewdness, made this horrific crappy system work pretty ok, at least throughout the 1980s and 1990s, by first rising to the top (quickly) through making the right friends and doing a bunch of competent field theory research with the right people, then once he got to the top, quickly recognizing and pulling up the RIGHT PEOPLE, the completely original people who were stomped on through the 1970s, the string theory people, and at the same time, all the while doing his own completely original work, which was unusually heavily mathematical, and pushed the field forward also. Ed Witten became a leader essentially because he was the only baby boomer on the East Coast physics departments who actually could read. He became a superstar when he endorsed strings, thereby giving East Coast journal people a way to check whether string papers are correct (ask Ed to referee it), and suddenly the field boomed, and everyone needed to make friends with Ed, because he was going to referee their string papers. Back then, people who weren't John Schwarz or Michael Green couldn't evaluate string papers.

The baby boomers had a drug catastrophe in the 1970s, which played a role in this. When people are burned out, they needed someone to follow in order to know what to do. Ed Witten played this leadership role in physics, emulating and displacing 't Hooft somewhat, who was the previous leader. I am trying very hard not to insult Witten here, rather to insult everyone else of his generation instead.



I really don't think so.

No problem with Ed Witten. He is an extraordinarily gifted and brilliant theoretician that has made a lot of contributions to string theory. However, if it just turns out that he backed the wrong horse and that string theory is wrong then someone else deserves the title. If he is right, he'll get a Nobel. If he is wrong, then he is still brilliant, just unlucky.

People might point out that he has opened up massive new avenues of mathematics. True, but we are talking about his status as a theoretical physicist and not his status as a mathematicians. In some ways mathematicians have it easier, since you can be a great mathematician through sheer brilliance. Becoming a top theoretical physicist means that your ideas have to ultimately have some connection with what is actually going on in the universe, and that's not something that's up to you.

No one knows what it looks like in 2050, but it's *possible* that you will have the same situation as Arthur Eddington. Eddington was a brilliant theoretician. Unfortunately, because he was so brilliant he came up with good (and wrong) argument that black holes couldn't exist, and held that up for decades.

It's possible that in 2050, people will look back at Witten and think of him as an ironic figure that because of his sheer brilliance sent people down a path that ultimately was a wild goose chase.

The funny thing is that we probably aren't going to know who the greatest living theorist right now for a few decades.